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National Resilience Benchmark

Consumer Economic Resilience Index

Measuring Consumer Capacity to Recover and Thrive.

The CERI measures strength rather than vulnerability — the ability of Ghanaian consumers to withstand, adapt to, recover from and thrive after economic shocks, fraud, service failures and unexpected expenses.

National CERI · Today
56.7
/ 100
Fragile Resilience
SevereLowFragileModerateHealthyStrongExceptional

Higher = stronger consumer recovery and adaptive capacity.

Resilience Profile
Seven dimensions, 0–100 (higher = stronger)
Illustrative
Core Dimensions

Seven pillars of consumer resilience

Each dimension scored 0–100 and weighted into the national CERI.

FRIFragile
Financial Resilience
54
weight 25%

Emergency savings, debt management, income stability, shock absorption.

  • Thin emergency savings
  • Rising household debt
  • Wage stability improving
CLRIModerate
Literacy Resilience
61
weight 15%

Rights awareness, financial literacy, scam recognition, contract comprehension.

  • Youth literacy improving
  • Rural literacy gaps persist
DRIFragile
Digital Resilience
58
weight 10%

Digital literacy, cybersecurity awareness, safe online behavior.

  • Mobile money safety up
  • Phishing recognition low
RAILow
Recovery Access
49
weight 15%

Awareness of complaint mechanisms, regulator access, legal remedies.

  • ADR awareness growing
  • Northern access lags
IPISevere Fragility
Insurance & Protection
38
weight 10%

Insurance utilization, warranty awareness, risk-transfer capacity.

  • Microinsurance pilot underway
  • Warranty literacy weak
ACIModerate
Adaptive Capacity
66
weight 15%

Provider switching, alternative services, decision flexibility.

  • MNP usage rising
  • Banking switching friction
SSCRIHealthy
Social & Community
72
weight 10%

Family support, cooperatives, consumer associations, informal networks.

  • Strong susu networks
  • Cooperative growth in Ashanti
Weight Configuration
Recalibrate dimension weights to model policy scenarios.
Σ weights = 100%
Trend & Forecast

Resilience trajectory

Eight-month CERI history with 30-day to 1-year forecast bands.

CERI Trend
National composite, monthly
Forecast Horizons
Predicted CERI with confidence range
Shock Recovery

How fast do consumers bounce back?

Average recovery time and success rate across the most common consumer shock events.

Fraud Incident
47d
avg. recovery
58%
success rate
Service Failure
12d
avg. recovery
74%
success rate
Product Defect
21d
avg. recovery
62%
success rate
Unexpected Expense
38d
avg. recovery
51%
success rate
Dispute Event
29d
avg. recovery
64%
success rate
Economic Shock
92d
avg. recovery
41%
success rate
Consumer Segments

Who recovers — and who doesn't

Resilience scores by demographic segment. Used by regulators and partners to target strengthening programs.

Geographic

Regional resilience map

Aggregated regional CERI with 30-day movement. Northern, Upper East and Upper West remain fragility hotspots.

Greater Accra
62+1.4
Ashanti
60+1.0
Western
56+0.5
Eastern
55-0.2
Central
53+0.4
Volta
54+0.9
Northern
44-1.6
Upper East
42-1.1
Upper West
43-0.7
Bono
51+0.3
Sector Resilience

Consumer resilience within sectors

How well consumers cope with shocks specific to each sector.

AI Resilience Intelligence

Plain-language narratives

GCIN models surface preparedness gaps, financial stress signals and structural weaknesses in human language.

Consumer resilience rose 1.4 pts driven by expanded financial literacy programs and growing mobile-money safety awareness.

Rural resilience in Northern Region declined 1.6 pts on reduced access to formal financial services.

Microinsurance adoption improved resilience among small-business owners — recovery time after shocks fell 14%.

Digital resilience among 18–24s is the fastest-improving segment, narrowing the urban–rural divide.

Data Governance

CERI outputs use aggregated and anonymized data with strict audit logging and role-based access. No consumer-level public reporting. Designed for Ghana with Pan-African adaptations for Nigeria, Kenya and South Africa.

Pilot data · illustrative